TrimTabs - Press Release - Jul 07, 2004

TrimTabs: Job Growth Strong, Not Weak

Investment Research Shows 174,000 New Jobs in June, not 112,000
2.14 Million New Jobs Since June 2003; BLS Undercounts by 700,000

Santa Rosa, CA - July 7, 2004 - A great deal of ink has been spilled lamenting the lack of job growth measured in June by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). "The job growth in June is healthy for this stage of economic recovery. While it was less than half of the explosive growth in March and April, the state of the labor market is not as dire as most press coverage suggests," said Madeline Schnapp, Editor at TrimTabs Investment Research. While the BLS measured job growth of 112,000 employees in June, TrimTabs' year-over-year methodology measured job growth of 174,000 employees in June, bringing the gain since 2003 to 2,142,000 employees, not 1,442,000 per the BLS. "Not only is the BLS 'rear-view mirror' methodology underestimating past gains, it is missing the recent rebound. Employment growth is simply shifting from an explosive pace to a healthy one," added Schnapp.

Online Job Postings Index Rockets 11.35%

The TrimTabs Online Job Postings Index marched higher for the second week in a row, rising 3.08 points, or 6.4%, to 51.13 from the previous week's reading of 48.05. This index has surged 11.35% over the past two weeks, demonstrating acceleration in labor market demand during the last two weeks of June.

Demand for temporary workers continues to increase at a robust pace, rising by 54,000 workers in June. Year-over-year demand rose by 234,000, a healthy 9.4% increase, suggesting the labor market is continuing to improve.
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Madeline Schnapp is Editor of TrimTabs Personal Income and TrimTabs Employment Update. She is a frequent speaker in the financial industry, most recently presiding at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) and the American Association of Independent Investors (AAII). TrimTabs Investment Research provides portfolio managers and market strategists with macro-timing tools which consistently prove to be indicators upon which to base profitable trading and investment decisions. See www.TrimTabs.com for complete research and trial subscription options.

CONTACT:
Madeline Schnapp Editor +(1) 707.829.8811
Charles Biderman President +(1) 707.525.1001
Research@TrimTabs.com Liquidity@TrimTabs.com

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